Examining the Real Impacts of a Government Shutdown: Facts Beyond the Political Drama

Get ready for another no-holds-barred episode of the Walt Blackman Show where we slice through the red tape of government bureaucracy. We're talking about the very real possibility of a government shutdown, and what that actually means for you, for me and for everyday Americans. Did you know that without Congress passing 12 appropriation bills federal agencies could be left high and dry due to the Anti-Deficiency Act? Essential services like air traffic control and law enforcement may be left unpaid, sending ripples of hardship through the lives of federal employees and their families. We're here to shed light on the facts, not just the political drama.

You'll want to lean in as we dive into the 51-page contingency plan from the Office of Management and Budget. We'll also uncover just how agencies like the CDC might be impacted. The shutdown isn't just a political chess game, it's an event that can strain those that serve our country. It affects everything from veteran benefit pay to military retirement pay. And guess what? The politicians are still getting paid. It's time we took a hard look at what's really going on.

Remember the partial government shutdown of 2018 and 2019? We'll revisit it and unpack the impact it had on our GDP. We'll talk about what happens when the budget doesn't get passed and how the government resorts to a continuing resolution. Border funding is a contentious issue, and we'll reveal where the Republican Party stands on it. For all the veterans and military retirees out there, we have advice and insights for you during these uncertain times. So, gear up, get ready, and let's cut through the noise together. This is Walt Blackman, and you're listening to the Walt Blackman Show.

Transcript

Speaker 1: 0:02

Let's see if we can relax and get ready for the Walt Blackman Show.

Speaker 2: 0:07

Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, to a place where facts are our North Star and common sense is our guiding principle. You've just tuned in to Walt Blackman's show. He's the voice that cuts through the noise, the man who isn't afraid to tell it like it is. Please welcome your host, the one and only Walt Blackman.

Speaker 3: 0:23

Hello America, and welcome back to another episode of the Walt Blackman Show. I'm your host. Walt Blackman and Boyd, we have an incredible lineup for you today. We're going to dig deep, expose truths and demolish myths, always with hard-hitting common sense facts. Hey everybody, it's Walt Blackman, and welcome to another segment of the Walt Blackman Show. We're going to be talking about the looming shutdown, and Congress appears to be on track to trigger this shutdown, which is going to start off on October 1st of this year, 2023, because, guess what, everybody? Congress has not expected the past 12 appropriation bills to fund the government. So we're going to be talking about that and more here on the Walt Blackman Show after these messages.

Speaker 2: 1:11

First and foremost, a quick thank you to our incredible sponsor, wb Consulting Services LLC. They're the trailblazers in business consulting right here in beautiful Phoenix. If you're seeking to elevate your business, give them a call at their offices at 6029607, or toll free at 1-800-83-415-57WB Consulting Services is your go-to for all your business solution needs.

Speaker 3: 1:41

Hey everybody, Walt Blackman, so we are talking about the non-working, functioning Congress. You know we send these guys and gals up there to just to do really one thing and that's to pass the budget. Okay, really, I mean, that's, that's your number one job is to fund the government and they can't even do that, right? Nope, Now the it's, it's, it's, it's insane to me. Do these folks get paid $174,000 a year and they can't even do this? They can't even do this. Now, why? You know you may be asking yourself some people you know that are not in the politics and they're not into you know all these things and you have some people that really ask you know, why do government shut down? Why does it happen? So let me, let me just peel the onion back for some folks.

Speaker 3: 2:37

Under the Anti-Deficiency Act, which was initially passed in 1884 and it was amended, this bill was amended and 1950, ladies and gentlemen, federal agencies cannot spend or obligate any money without the appropriations or approval from Congress. So, in a nutshell, Congress has to do their jobs before federal agencies can function or keep their doors open. So when Congress fails to do that, they fail to enact the 12 annual appropriation bills. Federal agencies, they have to stop all nonessential functions until Congress can stir act together. Now that's a problem for me, because some of those agencies may be agencies like Social Security, Venerable Administration, Department of Defense and other vital agencies that run our government. Now this is known as a full shutdown. When all that happens, it's a full shutdown. Now Congress does have an opportunity and they had an opportunity last week to enact some, but not all, of the appropriation bills. Only agencies without appropriations would have to shut down, and that's called a partial shutdown. That happened some years ago. Now Congress had an opportunity to do this. The Senate, they got their act together. They hammered out a bipartisan bill to fund the government, but in the Congress it didn't happen, because we've got a lot of competing personalities over there that are actually in it for themselves rather than the American people, because if they were in it for the American people, we wouldn't even be talking about this. Now they'll come back to their districts and say that they're doing this for you, that they're standing up for you, that they're fighting for you. They'll say that. But believe me, ladies and gentlemen, there is an agenda with this.

Speaker 3: 4:43

Now we know all this is kind of wrapped around the speaker and his failure to fulfill his obligations or his promises that he's made to the Freedom Caucus. The Freedom Caucus is pissed off because he's not doing what he's supposed to do 72 hours for a bill, single funding bill initiatives I think that's what it's called. It's just doing what he was doing, what he's supposed to do, and he hasn't done it. So here's the deal on that. This guy has been lying for years. Mccarthy has been lying for years. Why would you think he would stick to a deal that he's been lying for years? Come on, the guy is not going to do what he agreed to do. And if you thought he was, I'm like, really, Come on Now. That's the problem in the House.

Speaker 3: 5:43

Now, during a shutdown, what really happens during the shutdown? As I said, many of the federal employees are told don't come to work. Do not come to work. So and that was actually initiated through the 2019 law that they would get paid, but retroactively, when there was a shutdown. So so you don't go to work, but you don't get paid, but you'll get paid retroactively. So what about your mortgage? What about your food? What about gas in your cars? What about putting clothes on the backs of your children so they can go to school.

Speaker 3: 6:23

Now, this doesn't apply to essential services, and some of those essential services are, for example, air traffic control, law enforcement. They will continue to work, but guess what? Everybody they will not get paid until Congress takes action to end the shutdown. They're not going to get paid. So, border patrol they're not going to get paid, they're going to be standing out there and guess what? They already don't get paid enough.

Speaker 3: 6:51

So so, while you know, Republicans and I'm a Republican while Republicans are talking about the border, we need to, we need to protect the border, we need to fund law enforcement. It's the Republicans, everybody that are holding up this bill, these funding bills. It's not the Democrats that are doing this, it's the, it's the House Republicans that are doing this. Now, some of you may not want to hear that, but the truth is the truth. And just about every shutdown that we have experienced we've experienced four shutdowns the government has shut down four different times because of not able to agree or come to agreement on some of these bills, these appropriation bills, and it's been because Republicans my own party.

Speaker 3: 7:44

Now, if all this applies when I was talking about the air traffic controllers and law enforcement, we're talking about 25% of federal spending. Everybody is subject to annual appropriations by Congress only 25%, so 75%. They can do a partial and pay these other folks, but guess what? They're not going to do that because of competing personalities. Now I want people to understand that those folks that are on Social Security, Medicaid that will continue to flow because they are authorized by Congress and laws that don't need annual approval. Now that doesn't mean that the services offered by the Social Security Benefit Office may be continuing to flow because they're going. Those services are going to be limited because they are not. Some of those services are non-essential services and, in addition, the Treasury can continue to pay interest on the US Treasury debt on time during this. So that's a good thing, I guess. However, there are some negative actions that are going to come with this. We're going to be talking about that more after this message or after these messages.

Speaker 2: 9:00

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Speaker 3: 9:50

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Speaker 2: 10:14

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Speaker 1: 10:27

If you're looking to catch up on Walt's past shows, all you need to do is go to Apple Podcast, spotify Podcast Index, amazon Music Podcast, attic Podchaser or End Player FM. You can also go to his website at wwwbussfroutcom and click on the Walt Blackman show. Now here's more of Walt coming at you on the Walt Blackman show.

Speaker 3: 10:52

Everybody is Walt Blackman. We're talking about the shutdown and how it disrupts the everyday lives of Americans and, as I said, these things are very disruptive and these things can cause to delays in processing application, passport, small business loans or government benefits, and that's what we're going to be diving in to. Talking about veterans benefit pay or military retirement pay. Now, veteran benefit pays. If you are getting a benefit, some sort of benefit, because of an illness or an injury, because you were in the military, and you are getting a check every month because of your service, that will continue to come to you. That will continue to come to you in whatever amount you normally get. However, however, say this thing goes past October 1st, if you are a military retiree and you are receiving a military retirement, we're not talking about VA health benefit or we're not talking about disability benefit. If it's just a military retirement, you will not get paid. Why won't you get paid? Because that is non-essential.

Speaker 3: 12:06

Now, members of the military will get retroactive pay, but they will work without pay. Now think about this a private gets paid what? $1900 a month, before taxes, I think. I believe when I was a private, I got paid $900 a month. I believe we get a private that has a family that's only getting paid $1900 a month and then they are not going to get paid. Guess what you are putting that military member in financial dire straits. And these folks up on Capitol Hill they don't seem to get it because they're getting a check of $174,000 a year. And guess what, everybody, their pay doesn't stop. They'll continue to get paid. So while they're up there messing around trying to figure out how to put two and two together, they're still getting paid. And then you got the people that are actually protecting this country, doing the work law enforcement, military, those folks that are veterans that observe this country. They are not going to get paid. Why? Because Congress can't get their crap together and this is very, very disruptive when this happens.

Speaker 3: 13:27

Now, the Office of Management and Budget they always post a detailed contingency if there is going to be a shutdown, so you can go to that and you can say, oh, yeah, okay, I'm still not going to get paid, but you know you're going to have you know, I don't know chicken for lunch because we don't have money to pay for lunch. I'm just exaggerating on that. However, the House Office Management and Budget they'll post the contingency plans and they have this and it's a 51-page question and answer contingency plan, and these plans that the Office of Management and Budget usually puts out, they're pretty detailed and they talk about Security Exchange Commission. They talk about it talks about the you know, for example, the National Gallery of Arts, so on and so forth Centers for Disease and Controls. So they put that out. So, while we're talking about the CDC and we're talking about how this affects folks, the CDC says that 46% of its employees are 6448 individuals who will remain on the job. They'll stay on the job, including the 2,500 who are exempt because of their activities or positions are funded outside the usual annual appropriation process. However, 3,930 of them will not get paid because why? Their activities are deemed non-essential, but they will still work and not get paid. That is really dumb.

Speaker 3: 15:09

Now, what about the courts and Congress? Now, the Attorney General's Office? That's essential. There are some people that in the Attorney General's Office that will not get paid. However, in an opinion from the Attorney General's Office, it says that the President can continue to exercise his constitutional responsibilities. This was an opinion during a shutdown.

Speaker 3: 15:33

Now, with that logic, you would think that lawyers of or from the federal courts and Congress would avoid be able to avoid a shutdown. They have said that judges and members of Congress and those who support them are essential duties, so they can avoid a shutdown. There's nothing that they can do. They are essential, but guess what? They're still going to get paid. They can stay on the job even if the appropriations that fund them lapse. So that Congressperson who is getting $174,000 a year and that private who only gets paid $1,900 a month, which is less than $20,000 a year, guess what? That's probably not getting paid. But the Congressman and he's in there fighting for you. They're in there fighting for you, and that is a shame. So my solution is to this if Congress can get their act together, maybe their paycheck should stop too. Maybe they need to keep them on the job, like they do law enforcement, like they do the Border Patrol, like they do Homeland Security. Keep them on the job, but you guess what? You're not getting paid. Now here is what it is likely to happen during for this shutdown.

Speaker 3: 17:00

Now, this past June, with the backing of Republican leaders in the House, senate, congress passed and President Biden signed the Physical Responsibility Act. Now, what is this? A lot of folks don't know about this thing. This is an act that was signed by Congress. This is one of the things that I think that got the Freedom Caucus pissed off. Now, what it did? It lifted the ceiling on the federal debt, the federal debt limit, and it set limits on annual appropriations spending, one of one for defense, one for non-defense, for fiscal years 24, which begins, ladies and gentlemen, and hold onto your hats October 1. But guess what? The Freedom Caucus don't like that, because why? The speaker worked with the president. So they don't like that. And they are holding the budget hostage because of this and other things. And if they tell you anything different, they're lying to you. They are lying to you because our people that we elect have a history of lying to us. I mean, I was in the Arizona House and I have seen it all. I've seen it all on a state level.

Speaker 3: 18:22

Now, at the same, the expectations for all of this were that this was going to settle the overall size of the appropriation bill, so they were going to be able to cut this down and Congress would pass only 12 bills and that added up to the agreed upon levels. Now, senate Appropriations Committee like I said, the Senate they already got their stuff done. They followed that path and passed all 12 pieces of appropriations with bipartisan support. Thank you very much, senate, for being grown-ups. However, the House Republicans they are unhappy with the agreement that Speaker McCarthy made with the White House, and so some of those folks are saying that they're holding up these bills because they're pissed off, because that wasn't part of the agreement. They want bills with nothing to do with Democrats on it.

Speaker 3: 19:29

Now I understand, you know, we're Republicans, we have to be responsible, we have to make sure that you know, small government, low taxes, so on and so forth. We already know the deal and we got that. But there is no way in the world that every single Republican is going to be on 12 appropriation bills. It's not going to happen. It is not going to happen. So they're going to need Democrats, just like the Senate needed Democrats, and our President Biden. President Biden, he still has to sign these bills that come through and, who knows, and now they did this impeachment saying on them who knows, maybe he'd veto a bill, veto some of these appropriations bill, because they're doing that.

Speaker 3: 20:28

I don't know and you need to understand so and I got where I got where the Republicans are upset at some of this because some of the House bills also include provisions on abortion, contraceptions and regulations on tobacco, so on and so forth. Health, health care for people who are trans, and so on and so forth. And all the left crazy leaning agenda that the left has. I got it. That's why Bill Gates not Bill Gates, matt Gates, senator, matt Gates wants to strip these stains out of these appropriations, have them in separate bills and just vote on the appropriations bills. The Democrats are going to do that. They are not going to move on it. So what's going to happen? There is going to have to be cross-the-isle work. There's going to have to be some sort of resolution to pass these appropriations bills. Everybody. We will be right back talking about the looming shutdown here on the wall.

Speaker 2: 21:32

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Speaker 3: 22:02

Now, if you remember 2018 and early 2019, there was a partial shutdown. That partial shutdown was because five of the 12 appropriation bills had been passed, so it was partial. They didn't get them all done. They compromised, they got five done and so guess what they were able to do? What they had to do? It was a partial shutdown. It still went out, people got paid, people still got to go to work. However, it affected and hit the GDP. It reduced the GDP everybody, the level of the GDP growth by 0.1%. Now, what does that mean? It happened in the fourth quarter of 2018. That equates to $3 billion with a B. And guess who made that up? Taxpayers made that up, and by 0.2%. In the first quarter of 2019, it grew to $8 billion. Because, guess what? It was still a shutdown, it was still a partial shutdown.

Speaker 3: 23:07

While these clowns are messing around, american taxpayers are getting hit on the front end because they're not getting paid, or it's partial, or what have you, and then they're getting hit on the back end because guess who's got to pay for that that $8 billion? Taxpayers, they're not going to fall out of the trees, and a lot of this is because of the loss of work when people have to go home and they can't work, federal workers pay and the delay in federal spending on goods and services. That charges or that, adds up. Now, although most of the real GDP lost, eventually it was recovered. And again it was recovered. Why? Because you, the taxpayer, suck us. We had to pay for that and the CBO estimates again we're going to have to go through that again. Now we already have a deficit of over $30 trillion.

Speaker 3: 24:09

You would think that these fools would be able to do what they had to do, but they can't do it. Why? Because they're just up there, they're getting paid, they're doing I mean, you would. I don't know what to say. I really don't. I really don't Because you know they got enough time to do all this other crap, like all these hearings and all these impeachments and all this other stuff. They got time to do that, but they don't have time to do the one thing that they really need to do, the real reason why they are sent up there, and that is to pass the freaking budget and keep the government open.

Speaker 3: 24:53

Now, all they need to do, even if they can't even get that right, they have the option to use a CR, which is a continuing resolution. We all know that there are temporary spending bills. However, it allows the federal government to operate, to continue to function, until the final appropriations have been either approved by Congress and the president or so on and so forth, but without final appropriations or continuation resolutions. Guess what? There is a lapse in funding which causes a government shutdown. Yes, and all these fools got to go up there. That's their main job. You should go up there and do that. That's it. That's all they got to do. And if they can't do that, they just use the CR, as I said, not a federal budget.

Speaker 3: 25:44

As we know and this is so simple the federal budget is proposed by the president. It doesn't change. It outlines the president's spending goals and priorities for the given year. All Congress goes in there and does is debate the funding. They vote on it, they vote on the appropriation of the funding, they send it back to the president. The president passes it, signs it, it comes along and we've got a government that's funded. Governments have to do it every single year. We are constitutionally mandated to pass our budget and balance our budgets every year.

Speaker 3: 26:23

Do you want to know when the last time Congress actually fulfilled that process and how many times they've done it. The last time they've done this was 47 years ago and it's only happened three times where Congress has done their freaking job. The most recent time that they have done it was physical year 1997. 47 years, the last 47 years and the most recently, for FYI 1997, is when they actually got their act together and they did exactly what the Constitution tells them to do. Now the CRs generally continue the level of funding from the prior year's appropriation Now some folks don't know that or the previously approved CR from the current year. So they haven't fixed this thing for some 47 years. How many years they've gone back to do the CR? Yeah, that is really kicking the can down the road.

Speaker 3: 27:30

Now, a full year CR, continuing appropriations, a correction, a continuing resolution, sorry, everybody provides that appropriation for the remainder of the year. We all know that. And the CR again can include changes from the prior year's budget and it'll alter the rates at which you know how they're funding and how the funding is being utilized, extends, the you know expiring programs, authority, so on and so forth. So, instead of going in there and do what they are constantly meant you know supposed to do as a Congress and pass the bill. Guess what? They're not doing that, and it's not because they cannot get a bipartisan bill. It is because of personalities. It is because of personalities and that is why they haven't done it.

Speaker 3: 28:32

So I love it when these folks come back and they come back into the districts and they tell us all these great, wonderful stories about why, how they're standing up for us and how they are fighting for the cause, and how they are fighting to be conservatives and manage spending, and so on and so forth. While they are sitting there beating on their chest, people are going without paychecks. Border patrol is going without paychecks. However, they are expected to still do their jobs. Now how in the world can a party as the Republican Party the party that I am a member of talk about closing the border and beating up the administration for the lack of lust and job that they are doing on the border but don't fund the border? How do they do that? How does that happen? It's just like these fools who talk about they are for the police and they are back to blue, but they are beating police officers over the head during January 6th. It makes no sense. It makes no sense at all.

Speaker 3: 29:54

Essential services will continue. However, some of those essential services will not continue. Why? Because these clowns don't have their act together. Yeah, I did call them clowns. I did Because it's their only job to do. Now, I wouldn't call them clowns if they've only done this three times in the last 47 years. I mean, I mean, god, this is your job to do this. This is your job to do this. Everybody, let's fix this.

Speaker 1: 30:25

If you're looking to catch up on Walt's past shows, all you need to do is go to Apple Podcast, spotify Podcasts Index, amazon Music Podcasts, attic Podchaser or End Player FM. You can also go to his website at wwwbustsproutcom and click on the Walt Blackman show. Now here's more of Walt coming at you on the Walt Blackman show.

Speaker 3: 30:49

Everybody. Welcome back. This is Walt Blackman. We were talking about the Loomy shutdown October 1, and we touched on why the shutdown is there and my opinion on. You know, if there is a shutdown, that these members of Congress shouldn't get a pay. I want to dive in a little bit more about how this really affects the veterans, the veterans and how the government will you know, and some shape or manner will it'll affect military pay or affect retirement pay. However, it will not affect healthcare and most of the benefits for the veterans. So the Veterans Administrations and Healthcare Administrations last Tuesday they released some guidance on to veterans on what functions will continue if there is a shutdown and Congress fairs fails to resolve their problem down there.

Speaker 3: 31:48

And if you are a veteran, I ask for you to listen to this part. You know, because this is important for you, this is for you Medicare and critical services under the VHA, the Veterans Health Administration, that you can expect that to continue Education benefit claims processing and payments that should continue to go. Insurance processing and loan guarantees under the Federal Business Benefits Administration that there's some questions about that payment process for veterans readiness and employment programs. So those folks that are getting out of the military and you're going into these employment readiness programs, that should continue to go. The compensation and pension processing for payments that's going to go. Now, understand there is a difference. There is a difference between DFAS, defense Financing, accounting Services, retirement Pay and Veterans Benefits Pay. There's a difference. It's two different. It's two different pots. So if you are a veteran and you are only getting DFAS pay, military retirement with no veteran benefit pay, your pay will stop. If you are a veteran and say, for example, you are 100% and you spent 20 years or more in the military, your pay will not stop, even though your retirement pay is connected to your VBA, your Veterans Benefit, administrative Pay. Because the formula I'm not going to get all into the formula but however, if you're in that category, you're going to be fine. However, if you are in the other category and you're only getting your retirement pay, there may be some delays in that. If they don't do their jobs Now 97% of the VBA employees they are either going to be funded in advance or they're going to be required to perform expected functions during the shutdown. Which. What does that mean? 450,000 employees will be working for free and about 15,000, little 15,000 will be asked to go home if a shutdown occurs Now, this past year, in 2022, the PACT Act, which was put into law, that to extend benefits for veterans who were exposed to taxes like Agent Orange, if you were deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan, radiation, burn pits, those types of things, those you can still process your claims for that.

Speaker 3: 34:43

However, that is the most that you can do until either the government opens back up or they figure out what they're going to do in it. Now here is the programs that are going to shut, that are going to stop. So education call centers you know other, you know. So, to put it plainly, gi Bill Hotline almost 9-11 Hotline you call that they're not going to be anybody there to answer the phone. Native American veterans direct loan programs that's going to be ceased. The career outreach programs that including veteran readiness and employment and personalized career program planning and guidance programs that's going to be ceased.

Speaker 3: 35:41

Like facing activities, including digital and traditional veteran outreach centers and programs, communications and so on and so forth. Faith-based partners those types of things, outreach, tribal government deals those are going that's going to be, that's going to be closed, and God forbid. You're a veteran and you die during a shutdown because your headstone markers will not be serviced and veteran cemeteries will not be open for business. And guess what, everybody? There's no deal in sight for 2024. House Republicans have not yet been able to agree, as I said, on the funding the government for the next physical year and again it starts Sunday and VA activities, as I said, that do not have an advance allocations will not be funded Under the Appropriations Act of 2024, we went through some of those and we just need to make sure that veterans are aware of this and all this that's going on.

Speaker 3: 36:50

And please everybody, if you are a veteran and you are looking for answers about your veterans benefits or you know what's going to be stopped if there is a shutdown, you need to contact your local, your local state veterans benefit area. So, for example, in Arizona, contact Phoenix and they will be able to help you through this process. If you're in need, please make sure that you call someone, call a battle buddy, call an agency, because I did mention some of the functions will still stay open and you can contact them if you're in need for services as a veteran. And again, if you are a military retiree and you are not receiving veterans benefits through pay, again, I do feel bad for you. However, your pay will likely be stopped.

Speaker 3: 38:00

I'm Law Black, when everybody hope you enjoyed this subject. I will stay on this and make sure that you are informed that this shutdown continues to go on and that you have all the information that you need. And again, everybody, make sure that you are not part of the problem. You are part of the process. Take care of everybody. This is Walt Blackman. I'll see you on the flip side, walt Blackman.

Speaker 1: 38:26

You're listening to the Walt Blackman show.

Speaker 2: 38:41

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