Money, Markets & New Age Investing

S2 E8: There is NO Debating the Current Health of the Economy!

June 29, 2024 Greg Weldon Season 2 Episode 8
S2 E8: There is NO Debating the Current Health of the Economy!
Money, Markets & New Age Investing
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Money, Markets & New Age Investing
S2 E8: There is NO Debating the Current Health of the Economy!
Jun 29, 2024 Season 2 Episode 8
Greg Weldon

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There was a mind-numbing Presidential debate this week on national TV, but there is NO "debating" the facts:

Fact -- the US consumer is cocooning, cutting back discretionary spending amid a depletion of savings, maxed-out credit cards, and "real" wages that barely keep pace with (still high) inflation. "Real" (inflation adjusted, in dollar terms) Retail Sales have been NEGATIVE for five consecutive months, in 19 of the last 20 months, and in 24 of the last 27 months. That is a FACT.

Fact -- the US housing market is CRUMBLING, as New and Existing Home Sales PLUNGE and violate multi-decade uptrend lines as prices hit new record highs and mortgage rates remain high. Moreover, Sales crash while Starts, Permits and Completions all are plummeting and reaching recession-like levels, setting up the next great home price inflation when the Fed does eventually cut rates.

Fact -- excluding the 2Q of 2020 and $3.2 trillion in COVID relief, Joe Biden has created more debt than ANY other President, BY a factor of +50%, and he still has three more quarters to continue his policy of using taxpayer money to try and buy this election. Oh, and as of the end-1Q Public Debt hit another record high of $35.586 trillion, up by +$6.839 trillion since Biden took office.

Fact -- inflation remains HIGH, and is set to re-accelerate to the UPSIDE, after posting a Gasoline price decline induced unchanged reading for the month of May. Over half of the (16) major US cities still post a year-year CPI rate of +4%, or higher.

Greg discusses all of the above, and offers specific investment strategy thoughts on Energy, Crude Oil in particular, the high-flying Information-Technology shares, the Communication Services sector, the XLRE Real Estate ETF, and the Mortgage Backed Securities market, in today's Money, Markets & New Age Investing podcast.

And, for the charts mentioned within, or for any other information pertaining to the topics discussed in this podcast, please feel free to email directly sales@weldononline.com

 

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Send us a Text Message.

There was a mind-numbing Presidential debate this week on national TV, but there is NO "debating" the facts:

Fact -- the US consumer is cocooning, cutting back discretionary spending amid a depletion of savings, maxed-out credit cards, and "real" wages that barely keep pace with (still high) inflation. "Real" (inflation adjusted, in dollar terms) Retail Sales have been NEGATIVE for five consecutive months, in 19 of the last 20 months, and in 24 of the last 27 months. That is a FACT.

Fact -- the US housing market is CRUMBLING, as New and Existing Home Sales PLUNGE and violate multi-decade uptrend lines as prices hit new record highs and mortgage rates remain high. Moreover, Sales crash while Starts, Permits and Completions all are plummeting and reaching recession-like levels, setting up the next great home price inflation when the Fed does eventually cut rates.

Fact -- excluding the 2Q of 2020 and $3.2 trillion in COVID relief, Joe Biden has created more debt than ANY other President, BY a factor of +50%, and he still has three more quarters to continue his policy of using taxpayer money to try and buy this election. Oh, and as of the end-1Q Public Debt hit another record high of $35.586 trillion, up by +$6.839 trillion since Biden took office.

Fact -- inflation remains HIGH, and is set to re-accelerate to the UPSIDE, after posting a Gasoline price decline induced unchanged reading for the month of May. Over half of the (16) major US cities still post a year-year CPI rate of +4%, or higher.

Greg discusses all of the above, and offers specific investment strategy thoughts on Energy, Crude Oil in particular, the high-flying Information-Technology shares, the Communication Services sector, the XLRE Real Estate ETF, and the Mortgage Backed Securities market, in today's Money, Markets & New Age Investing podcast.

And, for the charts mentioned within, or for any other information pertaining to the topics discussed in this podcast, please feel free to email directly sales@weldononline.com

 

Support the Show.

https://twitter.com/money_podcast
Money, Markets & New Age Investing Podcast
@money_podcast

https://instagram.com/age_of_polarization_investing
Money, Markets & New Age Investing Podcast

https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100094931703462
Money, Markets & New Age Investing Podcast

https://www.youtube.com/@GregoryWeldon
https://www.youtube.com/@MoneyMarketsNewAgeInvestingPod
Our YouTube Channels

Political Commentary on US Leadership
US Economy and Real Estate
Consumer Spending Trends and Investment Opportunities