The Big History Podcast - The Making of Modern America

Who won the Vice Presidential Debate between Tim Walz and JD Vance?

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Can a civil debate truly shift the tides of a political race? In today's episode, we delve into the Vance Walsh debate, dissecting its deeper implications beyond the immediate headlines. By analyzing articles from the Daily Beast and Politico, we explore how each publication frames the debate's tone and impact, questioning if the lack of blunders and the civil nature of the exchange benefited either candidate. We also examine the strategic focal points of both contenders—with Vance zeroing in on immigration and economic issues, and Walsh linking Vance to the Trump era while spotlighting abortion rights. Nonverbal cues and their power to sway public perception are discussed, along with the significance of post-debate fundraising as a momentum indicator.

Stepping beyond the debate itself, we underscore the necessity of independent thinking and thorough research in navigating political discourse. Encouraging our listeners to seek out diverse perspectives and engage in open-minded conversations, we emphasize that genuine understanding emerges from challenging one’s own viewpoints. Reflecting on the debate as a microcosm of the current political landscape, we highlight the crucial role voters play in shaping the nation's future. Tune in for a nuanced take on the Vance Walsh debate and the broader political strategies at play.

Speaker 1:

All right. So you want the down and dirty on this Vance Walsh debate, right, not just the fluff pieces? You guys were smart enough to send us some, some really interesting articles this time around, so let's dive in. We've got the Daily Beast piece here, which is kind of like a judging rubric for these debates, and then and then we've got this Politico poll analysis. That it's a well, let's just say it's stirring the pot a bit.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, you could say that it's so easy to get caught up in the immediate reactions to these things. You know, like, who had the best zinger, who flubbed a line.

Speaker 1:

Yeah.

Speaker 2:

But you guys, you're looking for the deeper story, right?

Speaker 1:

Exactly.

Speaker 2:

And that's where context is absolutely key.

Speaker 1:

Right and the Daily Beast. They lay out like six different ways to analyze this thing. I mean everything from like controlling the narrative to those like classic debate stage blunders. They knew we were going for the deep dive here, but before we get into like all those nitty gritty details, what do you think about? Just like the overall vibe, Because Politico called it civil, which honestly seems a little surprising given everything else going on this election cycle.

Speaker 2:

Well, and civil isn't exactly the word that jumps to mind. Yeah, you know, and that actually brings up a really interesting point, because, you know, in a race this close, even just the tone of a debate can be spun.

Speaker 1:

Oh yeah.

Speaker 2:

So did this civility benefit one candidate over the other? You know? Does it say anything about voters wanting a more, you know, measured approach? Yeah, these are things to think about.

Speaker 1:

See, you're already reading my mind because I went straight to those memorable blunder articles that Daily Beast mentioned, like Rick Perry and his oops moment.

Speaker 2:

Oh yeah.

Speaker 1:

And in this debate crickets, at least according to Politico. So does that hurt the candidates or could it actually help by making them seem more, I don't know?

Speaker 2:

presidential Well, it's tricky, right, yeah, Because on the one hand, no gaffes could be seen as well boring.

Speaker 1:

Yeah.

Speaker 2:

No viral moments to grab your attention.

Speaker 1:

Right.

Speaker 2:

But in this case you've got two candidates who are really trying to appeal to a broad base.

Speaker 1:

Right.

Speaker 2:

So maybe this idea of stability, of composure, that's what's actually going to resonate with people. It all comes back to reading the electorate.

Speaker 1:

See, that's what I'm talking about, because Politico might be over here talking about the lack of fireworks, but their poll.

Speaker 2:

Well, their poll shows a dead even split 50-50 on who won the debate. I mean talk about a divided nation.

Speaker 1:

Exactly, and you know what makes that even more interesting.

Speaker 2:

The Daily Beast article. They mentioned that walls actually went into the debate with slightly higher favorability overall. So is this tie a sign that Vance actually managed to close that gap a bit, or does it just show how dug in people are with their pre-existing opinions?

Speaker 1:

OK, but hold on, because the Daily Beast also said that post-debate fundraising can be like a really important indicator.

Speaker 2:

Oh, absolutely.

Speaker 1:

So are we saying someone could bomb the debate but still win the money game?

Speaker 2:

It's definitely possible, like if a candidate has a really strong performance, or even if they just you know, perform better than expected, it can really fire up their base and get those donations rolling in.

Speaker 1:

Yeah.

Speaker 2:

So that 50-50 split. It's interesting for sure, but it's only one piece of the puzzle. We need to see how it translates into actual support over the next few weeks.

Speaker 1:

Okay, so money talks, but let's get back to the debate itself for a second. The Daily Beast talked about how both candidates, you know, came in with a game plan. Like Vance, for example, he seemed laser focused on immigration right, Trying to paint walls as being out of touch. What do you make of that approach?

Speaker 2:

Well, the really interesting thing there is how Vance actually frames the issue. You see, he doesn't just talk about border security in a vacuum. He connected to, like economic anxiety, that feeling that people have that the American dream is slipping away Right, it's smart, it's designed to really hit home with people who feel like they've been left behind, especially in those swing states.

Speaker 1:

It's like he's tapping into this like undercurrent of frustration, right Like people feeling like the system isn't working for them anymore. Exactly, and then you've got Walz on the other side basically playing the Trump card right, trying to tie Vance back to the I don't know. Some of the more colorful moments of the last administration Wonderful moments of the last administration.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, and Walz knows he needs to get his base fired up, and what better way to do that than to tap into all that, you know, anti-trump sentiment. Plus, he's playing up those Vance eccentricities that we talked about.

Speaker 1:

Right, you know, just reminding people of how chaotic things were. And hey, let's not forget Walz hammering home the abortion rights issue. The Daily Beast article even called it out as like a major sticking point in this whole election.

Speaker 2:

For sure.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, and it's a smart move considering how much attention that issue is getting. But it's not just about the issues themselves, is it? It's about how you present them, like the Daily Beast talked about body language being so key in how these debates are perceived.

Speaker 2:

Oh, it's amazing what those little nonverbal cues can tell you. You know, did a candidate seem nervous under pressure? Did they make eye contact? Even the tiniest gestures can color how people see their confidence, their leadership.

Speaker 1:

I always wonder about that line between what's genuine and what's you know, totally calculated Like how much of that is rehearsed, versus just like instinctual.

Speaker 2:

I mean, it's a mix of both, right, but even the rehearsed stuff, it's all designed to get a specific reaction out of the audience. Think about it A well-timed pause can really drive home a point. A strong posture can project authority.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, it's like that old saying it's not what you say, it's how you say it, but in politics it's definitely both.

Speaker 2:

Oh, 100%. It's about crafting a narrative With your words and your body, and now with social media. Every little thing is analyzed and shared, so getting that right is more important than ever.

Speaker 1:

Which circles us back to that 50-50 split in the Politico poll. It's like we've got these two perfectly choreographed performances. They both hit their marks, but the audience is still divided. What does that tell us about the electorate?

Speaker 2:

I think it just shows how deeply divided we are as a country. Tell us about the electorate. I think it just shows how deeply divided we are as a country. I mean the fact that something like this, a vice presidential debate, can't even move the needle on public opinion. It's kind of scary how entrenched people are in their beliefs.

Speaker 1:

And with the presidential race being such a nail biter this year, it kind of makes those undecided voters even more important, right?

Speaker 2:

Well, they're the wild card for sure. They could really tip the scales, Absolutely yeah, and so much of what we've been talking about. You know the issues they chose to focus on their whole presentation. It's all about trying to win over those people who are still on the fence. So did that message of economic anxiety land for Vance? Was Walls convincing when he talked about stability and experience? That's what we need to be watching for.

Speaker 1:

So, for those of us at home trying to sort through all of this, what should we be paying attention to? What are the key takeaways from this deep dive?

Speaker 2:

Well, first things first. Don't get too caught up in the horse race aspect of it all. It's easy to get fixated on those poll numbers who's ahead, who's behind but the really interesting stuff is in the details. So really pay attention to what the candidates are actually saying. Do their positions line up with their past records? Are they offering real solutions or just a bunch of empty promises?

Speaker 1:

Yeah, it's easy to get swept up in the drama and miss the bigger picture.

Speaker 2:

Exactly and be critical of your sources too. I mean, are they giving you the whole picture or just pushing a certain angle? It's more important than ever to really think for yourself.

Speaker 1:

Do your homework right. Check those facts, look at different sides of the story. It's like you always say there's always more than meets the eye.

Speaker 2:

Exactly, and you know. One last thing I'd really encourage everyone to talk to people who have different viewpoints, Even if it's a little uncomfortable. You might be surprised by what you learn.

Speaker 1:

Right, have those tough conversations, but be respectful, keep an open mind 100%.

Speaker 2:

These days it's so easy to just stay in your own little bubble. But you know, real understanding comes from hearing different perspectives.

Speaker 1:

Couldn't agree more. So there you have it, folks the Vance Walls Debate. A masterclass in political strategy, a reflection of just how divided we are as a nation and, in the end, a reminder that it all comes down to the voters.

Speaker 2:

Well said. And don't forget, this is just one piece of a much larger puzzle. The next few weeks are sure to be interesting, so stay informed, stay engaged and, most importantly, stay curious.